Igipimo cya peteroli iremereye ya Alberta, Western Canadian Select (WCS), cyarangiye icyumweru kiri munsi y’amadolari ya Amerika 50 kuri barrale bwa mbere kuva mu mpera zumwaka ushize.Igabanuka rishya rya 2022 ryatewe ahanini no kugabanya ibiciro bya peteroli muri rusange, ariko ahanini biterwa no kwaguka kwa peteroli iremereye yo muri Kanada.
OPEC + RALLY FIZZLES
Ibiciro bya peteroli byagabanutse gahoro gahoro mugice cya kabiri cya 2022. Ibiciro byabonye akantu gato mu ntangiriro zUkwakira, nyuma yuko OPEC + itoye kugabanya igipimo cy’umusaruro kuri miliyoni 2 bbl / kumunsi.Igabanuka nyirizina ryegereye miliyoni 1 bbl / kumunsi kubera guhagarika amasoko bikomeje mubanyamuryango ba OPEC.
Ibimenyetso byubukungu bwisi bugenda buhoro kuva byahanaguye ibyinshi mubyo byungutse.WTI yarangije icyumweru kuri US $ 76 kuri barrale, ikamanuka hejuru ya US $ 120 muri Kamena.Ubu OPEC ivuga ko ibona isoko ryuzuye mu gihembwe cya kane, kandi bikaba bidashoboka ko bazamura ibipimo mu nama yabo iteganijwe ku ya 4 Ukuboza.
IKIGANIRO CYA WCS
Mugihe ibipimo byose byibanze biri hasi cyane muntangiriro zUgushyingo, WCS yahuye nibibazo byinshi, kubera kwaguka kwayo kuri WTI.
Ibiciro bya peteroli nibitandukaniro bikunda kuba byiza cyane mugihe cyimbeho, mugihe peteroli ikenewe cyane.Nyamara, kugabanuka kwuyu mwaka niko kwagutse cyane kuva itegeko ryo kugabanya 2019, bishoboka ko biterwa no kugaruka kwinshi ku miyoboro yohereza ibicuruzwa hanze.
Umuyoboro w’imiyoboro w’iburengerazuba bwa Kanada warangiye 2021 hasigara umwanya, bitewe n’irangira ry’umushinga wo gusimbuza umurongo wa 3 wa Enbridge mu Kwakira 2021. Kuva icyo gihe TC Energy yarangije kwagura 50.000 bbl / ku munsi yo kwagura umuyoboro wa Keystone wongeyeho umwanya.Ubushobozi bwo kohereza ibicuruzwa hanze, usibye ibicuruzwa bitunganijwe, bingana na miliyoni 4.0 bbl / kumunsi.
Nubwo ubwikorezi bwa gari ya moshi bwatakaje urumuri, buracyafite hafi 125.000 bb / kumunsi byoherezwa mu mahanga, ntabwo byahindutse ugereranije nu mwaka ushize.
NIKI CYAHINDUWE?
Uyu mwaka wagaragaye ko uhuze cyane kubakoresha amavuta yumucanga kubungabunga-igice, bitewe nuko isubikwa ryihagarikwa ryicyorezo.Hafi ya 2022, Mainline ya Enbridge, itwara hafi bibiri bya gatatu by’ibicuruzwa biva muri Kanada byoherezwa mu mahanga, yakoraga munsi y’ubushobozi kubera kugabanuka kw'ibicuruzwa.
Ariko iyo nzira imaze guhinduka, kandi umusaruro wazamutse cyane mugihembwe cya kane.Umusaruro wa Bitumen cyane cyane woherezwa muri Amerika, biteganijwe ko uzasohoka 2022 ku rwego rwo hejuru.Biteganijwe ko itangwa rya Dilbit rizagera kuri 300.000 bbl / kumunsi hejuru yUkuboza ugereranije nigihe kimwe cyumwaka ushize, mugihe WCS yagabanutseho amadorari 15 US $ kuri barrale.
Enbridge ubu ivuga ko Mainline izagabanywa mu Kuboza, bivuze ko abaproducer bamwe bazasabwa gushaka ubundi buryo.Mainline ifite ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga bingana na miliyoni 3.1 bbl / kumunsi, hafi miliyoni 2.3 bbl / kumunsi muri byo bigenewe abatwara peteroli iremereye.
Hateganijwe gutegurwa bike byo kubungabunga umwaka utaha, bivuze ko 2023 ishobora kuba undi mwaka wanditseho umucanga wa peteroli.Umushinga wo kwagura Trans Mountain ntuzashyirwa mubikorwa kugeza igihembwe cya kane, birashoboka ko uzohereza byinshi muri ibyo bikoresho byiyongereye mubigega byabitswe, cyangwa kuri gari ya moshi.
Kubuza ihungabana rikomeye mumucanga wamavuta, cyangwa kugaruka kwa cota yo kugabanya, imihanda yose yerekana kugabanuka kwinshi muri 2023.